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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">csat</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>Computational Science and Techniques</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn pub-type="epub"/>
      <issn pub-type="ppub"/>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>KU</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">93_507_4_CE_SAKALAUSKAS</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Article</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Multidimensional rare event probability estimation algorithm</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Sakalauskas</surname>
            <given-names>Leonidas</given-names>
          </name>
          <email xlink:href="mailto:sakal@ktl.mii.lt">sakal@ktl.mii.lt</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_csat_aff_000"/>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="j_csat_aff_000">Vilnius University</aff>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Vaičiulytė</surname>
            <given-names>Ingrida</given-names>
          </name>
          <email xlink:href="mailto:ingrida_vaiciulyte@yahoo.com">ingrida_vaiciulyte@yahoo.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_csat_aff_001"/>
          <xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor2">∗∗</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="j_csat_aff_001">Vilnius University</aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes>
        <corresp id="cor2"><label>∗∗</label>Corresponding author.</corresp>
      </author-notes>
      <volume>1</volume>
      <issue>2</issue>
      <fpage>222</fpage>
      <lpage>228</lpage>
      <pub-date pub-type="epub">
        <day>18</day>
        <month>09</month>
        <year>2013</year>
      </pub-date>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received">
          <day>07</day>
          <month>08</month>
          <year>2013</year>
        </date>
        <date date-type="accepted">
          <day>21</day>
          <month>08</month>
          <year>2013</year>
        </date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-year>2013</copyright-year>
        <license license-type="open-access" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">
          <license-p>Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License</license-p>
        </license>
      </permissions>
      <abstract>
        <p>This work contains Monte–Carlo Markov Chain algorithm for estimation of multi-dimensional rare events frequencies. Logits of rare event likelihood we are modeling with Poisson distribution, which parameters are distributed by multivariate normal law with unknown parameters – mean vector and covariance matrix. The estimations of unknown parameters are calculated by the maximum likelihood method. There are equations derived, those must be satisfied with model’s maximum likelihood parameters estimations. Positive definition of evaluated covariance matrixes are controlled by calculating ratio between matrix maximum and minimum eigenvalues.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
